Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 25.230650 29.150294 33.392707 38.314957 43.857624 49.894465 56.955441
2025-01-12 17.866342 23.111801 29.347563 37.254904 46.957354 58.413011 72.895480
2025-01-19 13.181277 18.716912 25.819033 35.483316 48.158357 64.068762 85.380750
2025-01-26 11.488092 17.574442 25.867814 37.787567 54.233976 75.846867 106.059372
2025-02-02 10.589913 17.259018 26.818610 41.195303 61.870634 90.063980 130.838871
2025-02-09 9.142775 15.854117 25.959200 41.830721 65.568050 99.075571 149.087498
2025-02-16 7.826698 14.404152 24.781654 41.759154 68.090568 106.458426 165.389972
2025-02-23 6.682667 13.028147 23.499069 41.304449 69.877413 112.756714 180.379575
2025-03-02 5.780559 11.907575 22.457172 41.057899 71.865727 119.368069 196.107341
2025-03-09 5.020757 10.911783 21.479804 40.768320 73.684088 125.741338 211.744839
2025-03-16 4.077955 9.406963 19.408958 38.365375 71.774528 126.067191 217.925920
2025-03-23 3.735048 9.029504 19.323442 39.409190 75.693015 135.886258 239.575222
2025-03-30 3.492357 8.855744 19.662290 41.372034 81.563318 149.611039 268.917765
2025-04-06 2.952360 7.950104 18.478045 40.403541 82.231637 154.825946 284.848016
2025-04-13 2.415582 6.938339 16.927233 38.532693 81.058971 156.776041 295.390898
2025-04-20 2.319010 6.959760 17.541280 41.014155 88.181815 173.585735 332.186278
2025-04-27 2.314964 7.211982 18.682849 44.673888 97.810763 195.373983 378.709942
2025-05-04 2.093856 6.856513 18.418263 45.356015 101.684178 206.998615 407.952201
2025-05-11 1.851438 6.391430 17.833938 45.279273 104.021764 215.914474 432.787362
2025-05-18 1.617427 5.896737 17.104673 44.791340 105.457576 223.189040 454.964140
2025-05-25 1.425340 5.481312 16.507362 44.526750 107.311336 231.325699 479.087251
2025-06-01 1.255310 5.093352 15.921059 44.215961 109.023322 239.255702 503.178212
2025-06-08 1.015843 4.413340 14.457232 41.636230 105.602524 236.899088 507.671612